Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.180242 0.214348 0.252625 0.298690 0.352549 0.413447 0.487449
2025-05-04 0.134349 0.179417 0.235584 0.310402 0.407090 0.527431 0.688131
2025-05-11 0.103499 0.150926 0.214886 0.306775 0.434605 0.605210 0.849047
2025-05-18 0.080728 0.126832 0.193280 0.294963 0.445312 0.657796 0.978753
2025-05-25 0.063746 0.107059 0.173287 0.280447 0.447590 0.695868 1.089250
2025-06-01 0.055281 0.098440 0.167935 0.285957 0.478719 0.777531 1.270653
2025-06-08 0.045717 0.086136 0.154524 0.276156 0.483676 0.818558 1.392707
2025-06-15 0.040749 0.080760 0.151519 0.282633 0.515120 0.903762 1.592690
2025-06-22 0.035990 0.074876 0.146616 0.284829 0.539001 0.978243 1.781610
2025-06-29 0.031232 0.068133 0.139073 0.281006 0.551351 1.033675 1.942622
2025-07-06 0.027293 0.062318 0.132361 0.277633 0.563723 1.089740 2.109328
2025-07-13 0.025270 0.060136 0.132385 0.287164 0.601207 1.194327 2.373102
2025-07-20 0.024613 0.060999 0.139072 0.311690 0.672222 1.371057 2.793837
2025-07-27 0.022812 0.059008 0.139569 0.323667 0.719965 1.509111 3.156375
2025-08-03 0.020023 0.054171 0.133132 0.319878 0.734632 1.583799 3.402416
2025-08-10 0.017066 0.048335 0.123509 0.307592 0.729526 1.617860 3.569893
2025-08-17 0.014386 0.042664 0.113338 0.292492 0.716153 1.633032 3.699347
2025-08-24 0.013225 0.040809 0.112091 0.298223 0.750266 1.751746 4.057586
2025-08-31 0.011413 0.036777 0.104749 0.288028 0.746118 1.786872 4.238811
2025-09-07 0.010599 0.035460 0.104207 0.294766 0.782926 1.916102 4.638520
2025-09-14 0.009681 0.033648 0.102061 0.297050 0.809076 2.023537 4.998853
2025-09-21 0.008631 0.031205 0.097787 0.293073 0.819043 2.094330 5.281523
2025-09-28 0.007720 0.029020 0.093893 0.289565 0.829749 2.167773 5.576891